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SHOW NOTES FOR EPISODE 438: MUST KNOW KEY RATIOS FOR A QUICK PROPERTY ANALYSIS
Some people say real estate investing is all about the numbers. But what are the right numbers to determine whether a property is a gem or a dog. In this episode, Bill takes a look at those key “must have” numbers and ratios that help real estate investors identify those truly great rental properties.
Tip of the Week
- Treat your investments like a business – Real estate investing is a business and like every other business it requires purposeful planning, execution, and management. The most successful businesses are run by high quality people at every level of the organization. Those that ignore this fact are destined to struggle or even fail. Regardless of how big or small you want your to grow your real estate investing business, if you want to succeed then you must run it like a business.”
Must Know Key Ratios for a Quick Property Analysis
The numbers. In this industry, you must love the numbers. Love them like they are part of you. For good or for bad, ‘til death do you part, never leave the numbers.
One of the biggest questions I’m asked is how I go about a property once I find it. What do I do, what do I look at, how do I know if it’s “the one”? There are several things I do and look at with any new property potential, but the most important is the numbers. If the numbers aren’t good, I walk. Save yourself some time and before you do anything else, run the numbers and see if they work. If they don’t, awesome, you didn’t waste time on other stuff.
What numbers do you run? Well, what should any investor care most about? Cash flow. What determines cash flow? Income and expenses. Simple. People make running numbers out to be so complicated sometimes it’s a no wonder more people aren’t involved in real estate. In fact, the numbers can be one of the easiest parts of shopping for a property. Predicting appreciation may be easier for you than estimating cash flow.
Ready?
1. Figure out the Monthly Income (Gross Income)
This will either be rent the current tenants are paying, the asking rent (confirm this number is realistic), or if you have neither of those you can talk to a local property manager or real estate agent who can give you a market rent value for the property.
2. Calculate the Monthly Expenses
These generally include property taxes, insurance, property management fee (if applicable), mortgage payment or financing (if applicable), homeowner’s association fee (HOA) (if applicable), vacancy and repairs. Don’t forget vacancy and repairs! They are a real part of any property investment and they can drastically affect the cash flow. Yet so many people don’t think to include them in the expenses.
- Property– Look on Zillow or another online source for the most recent annual tax amount and divide by 12.
- Insurance– Get a quote from an insurance provider.
- Property Management Fee– Usually around 10% of the monthly rent.
- Mortgage– Use an online mortgage calculator to calculate the monthly payment. Confirm with your lender what your down payment and interest on the loan will be to ensure you are using accurate numbers for your calculations.
- HOA– This can be tough to find sometimes. The seller or agent may know the number already, but if not you will have to call the HOA of the neighborhood. If you only know the annual fee, divide by 12. I just have a hard and fast rule – don’t buy the property if there are HOA fees.
- Vacancy– I conservatively estimate 10% of the monthly rent towards vacancy expenses. In situations where you have a rockstar property manager or your tenants are under a lease option, the actual % should be much less. I still use 10% no matter what just to be sure I have a conservative margin.
- Repairs– Again an estimate but should not be left out. Just like with vacancy, I err on the side of conservative. If a house is a turnkey property or recently rehabbed and gets a good report from the inspector, I use 5% of the monthly rent. If the property is not in top shape, conservative could mean closer to 25%. Use your judgment on deciding what % to use for your estimate, but don’t overestimate the quality of your property and estimate too low.
3. Subtract the Monthly Expenses from the Monthly Rent (= Net Income)
This is your monthly cash flow. Yay! Hopefully it’s positive. If it’s not positive, run.
4. Calculate the Returns
Two numbers I want to see on any property I evaluate are the Cap Rate and the Cash-on-Cash Return.
Cap Rate
This gives you an idea if you are buying the property at a good deal. It basically compares the return on investment (ROI) to the purchase price.
Net Annual Income / Purchase Price = Cap Rate
NOTE: I don’t include the mortgage payment in this calculation.
The lowest cap rate I would ever want to see for any property, whether residential or commercial I don’t care is 6%. The lowest I would want to see on a residential rental property in this market is 8% and even then, there better be a good reason it’s that low (property in a “sexy” market, highly desirable area, etc.). Anything over 8% and you are doing well in my opinion.
Cash-on-Cash Return
This number is how much return you are getting on the money you invest. If you pay all cash for a property, this number will be the same as the Cap Rate. If you are financing, this number is the most accurate way to see the actual return you are getting on your cash-in and the leverage. Here is the equation, and remember to include the mortgage payment since this one is totally focused on financing:
Net Annual Income / Total Cash Invested = Cash-on-Cash Return
Understand the difference? Cap Rate is a measure of how good of a deal you are getting on the purchase price and the other (Cash-on-Cash Return) tells you the exact return on your money you are getting. They are the same for an all-cash buy but can be very different for a leveraged purchase.
If you compare the Cash-on-Cash Returns of an all-cash buy versus a financed buy. You may quickly see the benefit of leveraging! Way more bang for your buck! Try it out on a napkin sometime.
Practice problem on a real napkin!
Apply these steps to an actual property – on a real napkin
I hope that helps you to see how easy it is to do a quick analysis of a property if you know the right ratios!
DISCLAIMER: Many of the above strategies take knowledge and have a higher degree of risk. You need to do your research and/or work with someone who is experienced to reduce your risk.
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